# Harrowmere Festival risk scoring scale (agreed by the committee, March 2026)

Likelihood (over the next festival cycle):
1 Rare (<5%) · 2 Unlikely (5–20%) · 3 Possible (20–50%) · 4 Likely (50–80%) · 5 Almost certain (>80%)

Impact:
1 Minimal · 2 Minor (under £5k or minor injury) · 3 Moderate (£5k–£50k, or injury needing hospital) · 4 Major (£50k–£250k, serious injury, or one day lost) · 5 Severe (over £250k, death, or festival cancelled)

Score = likelihood × impact.
Bands: 1–4 Low · 5–9 Medium · 10–15 High · 16–25 Critical.

Every risk needs one named role as owner. Reviews: High and Critical risks monthly; others quarterly.