{
  "adapter": "event_mean_time_to_happen",
  "source": { "identifier": "example_outbreak.42" },
  "scenarioSet": {
    "schemaVersion": "1.0",
    "id": "outbreak_simulation",
    "surfaceHint": "event_mean_time_to_happen",
    "scenarios": [
      {
        "id": "uncertain_pressure",
        "actor": "EXM",
        "date": "1940.1.1",
        "state": { "variable.chaos": 500 },
        "flags": ["outbreak_active"],
        "uncertainInputs": [
          {
            "path": "variable.outbreak_pressure",
            "distribution": { "kind": "triangular", "min": 20, "mode": 50, "max": 90 }
          },
          {
            "path": "has_war",
            "distribution": {
              "kind": "categorical",
              "values": [true, false],
              "probabilities": [0.35, 0.65]
            }
          }
        ]
      }
    ]
  },
  "horizonDays": 365,
  "samples": 100000,
  "seed": 19400101,
  "confidenceLevel": 0.95,
  "outputs": ["json", "timing", "waterfall", "unresolved"]
}