import type { Signal } from '../signal/types.js'; import type { TradeIntent } from './types.js'; import type { AgentConfig } from '../core/config.js'; import type { MarketSnapshot } from '../collector/types.js'; /** * PM Signal Bet — Signal-driven Polymarket auto-betting. * * Aggregates all BfxSentry signals into a directional view. * When confidence exceeds the threshold (default 35%, backtested optimal), * generates a bet intent for Polymarket BTC Up/Down markets. * * Backtest results (30 days, 4h horizon): * Conf ≥ 30%: 52.9% accuracy, +3.9% PM EV * Conf ≥ 35%: 55.6% accuracy, +9.1% PM EV * Conf ≥ 40%: 66.7% accuracy, +31.3% PM EV */ export declare function evaluatePmHedge(signals: Signal[], snapshot: MarketSnapshot, config: AgentConfig): TradeIntent | null; //# sourceMappingURL=pm-hedge.d.ts.map