# Sources and Evidence Notes

Research cut-off: **2026-07-23**. All links were checked on that date with
Parallel web search and focused extraction. Dates below are publication,
release, or page-update dates shown by the source. Source excerpts were treated
as untrusted text and checked against the canonical page.

This bibliography supports process guidance; it does not show that any single
brainstorming method universally improves creativity or scientific validity.

## Group brainstorming, blocking, fixation, and selection

### Diehl and Stroebe (1987) — primary experiments

Michael Diehl and Wolfgang Stroebe, “Productivity loss in brainstorming groups:
Toward the solution of a riddle,” *Journal of Personality and Social
Psychology* 53(3), 497–509.
[DOI 10.1037/0022-3514.53.3.497](https://psycnet.apa.org/record/1988-01348-001).
Published 1987.

- Four experiments examined free riding, evaluation apprehension, and
  production blocking.
- Direct manipulation in the fourth experiment supported production blocking
  as an important explanation for loss in the tested interacting groups.
- Scope limit: laboratory brainstorming tasks do not establish superiority for
  every group purpose or setting.

### Mullen, Johnson, and Salas (1991) — meta-analysis

Brian Mullen, Craig Johnson, and Eduardo Salas, “Productivity loss in
brainstorming groups: A meta-analytic integration,” *Basic and Applied Social
Psychology* 12(1), 3–23.
[DOI 10.1207/s15324834basp1201_1](https://psycnet.apa.org/record/1991-24145-001).
Published 1991.

- The reviewed studies generally favored nominal over interacting groups for
  idea quantity and rated quality.
- Loss varied with conditions such as group size and vocal versus written
  contribution.
- Historical tasks, methods, and outcome definitions limit direct transfer to
  modern scientific teams.

### Rietzschel, Nijstad, and Stroebe (2006) — primary experiment

Eric F. Rietzschel, Bernard A. Nijstad, and Wolfgang Stroebe, “Productivity is
not enough: A comparison of interactive and nominal brainstorming groups on
idea generation and selection,” *Journal of Experimental Social Psychology*
42(2), 244–251.
[DOI 10.1016/j.jesp.2005.04.005](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0022103105000600).
Published March 2006.

- In 42 analyzed three-person student groups, nominal groups generated more
  ideas; their ideas were more original and less feasible.
- Selected-idea quality did not differ among conditions, and selection was not
  significantly better than chance.
- Strictly separating generation and selection did not establish a universal
  selection advantage in this experiment.

### Rietzschel, Nijstad, and Stroebe (2010) — primary experiments

Eric F. Rietzschel, Bernard A. Nijstad, and Wolfgang Stroebe, “The selection of
creative ideas after individual idea generation: Choosing between creativity
and impact,” *British Journal of Psychology* 101(1), 47–68.
[DOI 10.1348/000712609X414204](https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/19267959/).
Published February 2010.

- Explicit selection criteria improved selection on the named originality
  dimension in the reported studies, with trade-offs in satisfaction or rated
  effectiveness.
- This supports explicit criteria, not a claim that a single composite score
  identifies the scientifically best idea.

### Smith, Ward, and Schumacher (1993) — primary experiments

Steven M. Smith, Thomas B. Ward, and Jay S. Schumacher, “Constraining effects
of examples in a creative generation task,” *Memory & Cognition* 21, 837–845.
[DOI 10.3758/BF03202751](https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/8289661/).
Published November 1993.

- Across three creative-generation experiments, participants exposed to
  examples were more likely to reproduce example features.
- The specific drawing/design tasks support an anchoring or fixation risk; they
  do not quantify the effect for scientific ideation.

### Esser (1998) — review

James K. Esser, “Alive and Well after 25 Years: A Review of Groupthink
Research,” *Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes* 73(2–3),
116–141.
[DOI 10.1006/obhd.1998.2758](https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/9705799/).
Published February 1998.

- Reviews the evidence and evolution of Janis's groupthink model.
- The broader literature includes substantial debate over the model and its
  antecedents; this skill therefore uses “groupthink” as a risk prompt, not a
  definitive diagnosis.

## Nominal groups, Delphi, and structured elicitation

### Van de Ven and Delbecq (1972) — early NGT paper

Andrew H. Van de Ven and André L. Delbecq, “The nominal group as a research
instrument for exploratory health studies,” *American Journal of Public
Health* 62(3), 337–342.
[DOI 10.2105/AJPH.62.3.337](https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC1530096/).
Published March 1972.

- Primary early account of the nominal-group approach in exploratory health
  research.
- Historical evidence should be combined with current, context-specific
  reporting guidance.

### Harb et al. (2021) — NGT scoping review

Sami I. Harb et al., “Methodological options of the nominal group technique for
survey item elicitation in health research: A scoping review,” *Journal of
Clinical Epidemiology* 139, 140–148.
[DOI 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2021.08.008](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0895435621002535).
Published November 2021.

- Included 57 studies and identified 30 process decision points across five
  broad stages.
- Supports documenting actual choices and their rationale rather than treating
  NGT as one invariant protocol.
- Scope is health-survey item elicitation, not every use of NGT.

### Jünger et al. (2017) — CREDES systematic review and guidance

Saskia Jünger et al., “Guidance on Conducting and REporting DElphi Studies
(CREDES) in palliative care,” *Palliative Medicine* 31(8), 684–706.
[DOI 10.1177/0269216317690685](https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/28190381/).
E-published 13 February 2017.

- A methodological systematic review of 30 palliative-care Delphi studies
  found substantial variation in conduct, terminology, and reporting.
- CREDES is reporting and conduct guidance developed in a palliative-care
  context, not proof that Delphi consensus is correct.

### RAND (2023) — official Delphi methods guidance

Dmitry Khodyakov, Sean Grant, Jack Kroger, and Melissa Bauman,
[*RAND Methodological Guidance for Conducting and Critically Appraising Delphi
Panels*](https://www.rand.org/pubs/tools/TLA3082-1.html).
RAND Corporation, 29 December 2023.
[DOI 10.7249/TLA3082-1](https://doi.org/10.7249/TLA3082-1).

- Defines Delphi as iterative, anonymous, structured group communication under
  uncertainty and provides a design/appraisal tool.
- RAND explicitly notes a lack of consistent methodological guidance across
  the many Delphi variants.

### EFSA (2014) — official expert-knowledge elicitation guidance

European Food Safety Authority, “Guidance on Expert Knowledge Elicitation in
Food and Feed Safety Risk Assessment,” *EFSA Journal* 12(6):3734.
[DOI 10.2903/j.efsa.2014.3734](https://efsa.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.2903/j.efsa.2014.3734).
Adopted 22 May and published 19 June 2014.

- Covers problem definition, preparation, expert/method selection, elicitation,
  uncertainty, aggregation, and documentation.
- Developed for EFSA food/feed risk assessment; apply domain-specific guidance
  elsewhere.

### Cooke, Mendel, and Thijs (1988) — structured judgment method

Roger Cooke, Max Mendel, and Wim Thijs, “Calibration and information in expert
resolution; a classical approach,” *Automatica* 24(1), 87–94.
[DOI 10.1016/0005-1098(88)90011-8](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/0005109888900118).
Published 1988.

- Presents calibration and information concepts for combining expert
  judgments and an experiment with descriptive value.
- Using a “calibration” label without the method's elicitation, seed questions,
  and validation requirements would be misleading.

## Rigor, reproducibility, and sex as a biological variable

### NIH rigor and reproducibility guidance

NIH Office of Extramural Research,
[*Guidance: Rigor and Reproducibility in Grant Applications*](https://grants.nih.gov/policy-and-compliance/policy-topics/reproducibility/guidance).
Page dated 16 October 2024.

- Identifies rigor of prior research, rigorous experimental design, relevant
  biological variables, and authentication of key resources.
- This is grant guidance. It does not validate an idea or substitute for a
  protocol, statistical review, or field-specific reporting standard.

### NIH SABV policy and current ORWH guidance

NIH Office of Research on Women's Health,
[*Sex as a Biological Variable*](https://orwh.od.nih.gov/sex-as-biological-variable).
Page last updated 17 October 2025.

- NIH expects sex to be considered in design, analysis, and reporting for
  vertebrate animal and human studies and requests strong justification for a
  single-sex scope.
- The page links the governing
  [NOT-OD-15-102](https://grants.nih.gov/grants/guide/notice-files/not-od-15-102.html),
  released 9 June 2015 and effective for relevant applications from 2016.
- Scope is NIH policy; other funders and jurisdictions may differ.

## Preregistration and open science

### Nosek et al. (2018) — preregistration perspective

Brian A. Nosek et al., “The preregistration revolution,” *Proceedings of the
National Academy of Sciences* 115(11), 2600–2606.
[DOI 10.1073/pnas.1708274114](https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29531091/).
Published 13 March 2018.

- Frames preregistration as a way to distinguish prediction from postdiction
  by specifying questions and analyses before observing outcomes.
- It is a methodological perspective, not evidence that registration alone
  guarantees rigor or reproducibility.

### Nosek et al. (2015) — TOP Guidelines

Brian A. Nosek et al., “Promoting an open research culture,” *Science*
348(6242), 1422–1425.
[DOI 10.1126/science.aab2374](https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.aab2374).
Published 26 June 2015.

- Proposes modular journal-policy standards for transparency and openness.
- A policy framework does not itself establish that a specific study is valid
  or ethically shareable.

### COS/OSF — current operational guidance

Center for Open Science,
[*Preregistration*](https://www.cos.io/initiatives/prereg) and
[*Preregistration: A Plan, Not a Prison*](https://www.cos.io/blog/preregistration-plan-not-prison).
Current pages accessed 23 July 2026.

- Explicitly values both exploratory and confirmatory research, recommends
  transparent labeling, and explains how to report deviations.

Center for Open Science,
[*Registered Reports*](https://www.cos.io/initiatives/registered-reports).
Current page accessed 23 July 2026.

- Describes Stage 1 protocol review and in-principle acceptance before results,
  with exploratory analyses reported separately.
- COS states that Registered Reports are not a panacea for every field or
  design.

## Responsible AI and research integrity

### Doshi and Hauser (2024) — primary randomized experiment

Anil R. Doshi and Oliver P. Hauser, “Generative AI enhances individual
creativity but reduces the collective diversity of novel content,” *Science
Advances* 10(28):eadn5290.
[DOI 10.1126/sciadv.adn5290](https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adn5290).
Published 12 July 2024.

- Preregistered online experiment: 293 analyzed UK participants wrote
  eight-sentence stories with no, one, or up to five GPT-4 ideas.
- AI access improved average evaluated novelty/usefulness, especially for
  lower-scoring writers, while outputs became more similar in aggregate.
- Constrained short-story writing is not scientific ideation; the study
  supports a risk hypothesis, not a universal creativity claim.

### Walters and Wilder (2023) — primary citation audit

William H. Walters and Esther Isabelle Wilder, “Fabrication and errors in the
bibliographic citations generated by ChatGPT,” *Scientific Reports* 13.
[DOI 10.1038/s41598-023-41032-5](https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-023-41032-5).
Published 7 September 2023.

- Audited 84 texts produced in April 2023 by tested GPT-3.5 and GPT-4 versions
  and documented fabricated and substantive citation errors.
- Results are model-, prompt-, task-, and date-specific; they justify direct
  source verification rather than a timeless error rate.

### European Commission / ERA Forum (2024) — official living guidance

European Commission Directorate-General for Research and Innovation,
[*Guidelines on the responsible use of generative AI in
research*](https://research-and-innovation.ec.europa.eu/news/all-research-and-innovation-news/guidelines-responsible-use-generative-ai-research-developed-european-research-area-forum-2024-03-20_en).
Published 20 March 2024.

- Emphasizes transparency, responsibility, privacy, confidentiality,
  intellectual property, bias awareness, and avoiding AI in sensitive
  evaluation activities when confidentiality is not assured.
- The Commission describes the guidance as living and subject to updates.

### UNESCO (2023; updated 2026) — official guidance

Fengchun Miao and Wayne Holmes,
[*Guidance for generative AI in education and research*](https://www.unesco.org/en/articles/guidance-generative-ai-education-and-research).
Published 7 September 2023; page last updated 16 January 2026.

- Uses a human-centered framing and addresses privacy, ethical validation,
  inclusion, equity, and institutional capacity.
- Much of the document concerns education; apply research-specific provisions
  with local policy.

### ICMJE (2026) — official publishing recommendations

International Committee of Medical Journal Editors,
[*Use of Artificial Intelligence in Publishing*](https://www.icmje.org/recommendations/browse/artificial-intelligence).
Recommendations page dated 2026.

- Humans remain responsible for accuracy, attribution, permissions,
  confidentiality, and disclosure; AI tools are not authors.
- Publishing guidance does not replace institutional research policy.

### ALLEA (2023) — research-integrity code

ALLEA,
[*The European Code of Conduct for Research Integrity, 2023 Revised
Edition*](https://allea.org/portfolio-item/european-code-of-conduct-2023).
[DOI 10.26356/ECOC](https://doi.org/10.26356/ECOC). Published 2023.

- Cross-disciplinary self-regulatory framework recognized as a reference for
  EU-funded research.
- General principles require translation into institutional and
  discipline-specific procedures.

## Dual-use and responsible life sciences

### WHO global framework and current program

World Health Organization,
[*Ensuring responsible use of life sciences research*](https://www.who.int/activities/ensuring-responsible-use-of-life-sciences-research).
Program page accessed 23 July 2026; it indexes the 13 September 2022 Global
Guidance Framework and materials through a 15 June 2026 meeting report.

- Frames dual-use risk mitigation as individual and collective,
  multi-stakeholder work across life sciences and relevant emerging
  technologies.
- Global guidance must be applied with jurisdictional and institutional rules.

### Current U.S. policy-status notice

U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Administration for Strategic
Preparedness and Response,
[*Dual Use Research of Concern Oversight Policy Framework*](https://aspr.hhs.gov/S3/Pages/Dual-Use-Research-of-Concern-Oversight-Policy-Framework.aspx).
Current-status notice accessed 23 July 2026.

- The page states that federal departments and agencies will revise or replace
  the 2024 DURC/PEPP policy in response to the 5 May 2025 executive order and
  that the page will be updated when revised policy is available.
- Therefore this skill does not present the 2024 policy as a stable current
  checklist; researchers should consult their institution and current agency
  materials.

## Research method

Parallel CLI searches used focused academic and official-domain queries for:

- interactive versus nominal brainstorming and productivity blocking;
- NGT, Delphi, and structured expert elicitation;
- divergent/convergent idea generation and selection;
- NIH rigor, reproducibility, and SABV;
- preregistration, Registered Reports, and open-science guidance;
- responsible AI, hallucinated citations, homogenization, confidentiality,
  research integrity, and disclosure;
- WHO and U.S. dual-use policy status.

Canonical sources were then fetched with `parallel-cli extract` using focused
objectives for bibliographic metadata, methods, findings, limitations, and
current policy status. No research JSON artifacts were saved in the skill.
