/**
 * AI Comprehension Lag
 *
 * Models how long governments take to understand new AI capabilities
 *
 * Research Foundation:
 * - Ordering & Ziegler (2023): Government capacity to govern AI
 * - Maas (2019): How should we govern transformative AI?
 * - Schuett (2023): Three lines of defense against risks from AI
 *
 * Key Findings:
 * - High-capacity democracies: 1.5-2.5 years to understand breakthrough AI
 * - Authoritarian technocracies (China): 1-2 years (faster, centralized)
 * - Hybrid regimes: 3-5 years (bureaucratic + political gridlock)
 * - Low-capacity states: 5-8 years (limited technical expertise)
 *
 * @module policy/AIComprehensionLag
 */
import { Government } from '../core/Government.js';
/**
 * AI capability level
 */
export declare enum AICapabilityLevel {
    /** Current AI capabilities (GPT-4 level) */
    CURRENT = 0,
    /** Near-term AGI (human-level in most domains) */
    AGI = 1,
    /** Transformative AI (vastly superhuman) */
    TRANSFORMATIVE = 2,
    /** ASI (artificial superintelligence) */
    SUPERINTELLIGENCE = 3
}
/**
 * Calculate AI comprehension lag (months)
 *
 * How long until government understands new AI capability level
 *
 * @param government - Government agent
 * @param capabilityLevel - AI capability level
 * @param rng - Random number generator (0-1)
 * @returns Months until comprehension
 */
export declare function calculateAIComprehensionLag(government: Government, capabilityLevel: AICapabilityLevel, rng?: () => number): number;
/**
 * Calculate comprehension progress (0-1)
 *
 * How much does government understand about AI capability?
 *
 * @param monthsElapsed - Months since AI capability emerged
 * @param totalLag - Total comprehension lag (from calculateAIComprehensionLag)
 * @returns Comprehension level (0-1)
 */
export declare function calculateComprehensionProgress(monthsElapsed: number, totalLag: number): number;
/**
 * Check if government has comprehended AI capability
 *
 * @param monthsElapsed - Months since AI capability emerged
 * @param government - Government agent
 * @param capabilityLevel - AI capability level
 * @param threshold - Comprehension threshold (default: 0.8 = 80% understanding)
 * @param rng - Random number generator
 * @returns True if comprehension threshold reached
 */
export declare function hasComprehendedAI(monthsElapsed: number, government: Government, capabilityLevel: AICapabilityLevel, threshold?: number, rng?: () => number): boolean;
/**
 * Get comprehension status description
 */
export declare function getComprehensionStatus(comprehensionProgress: number): string;
/**
 * Calculate policy response delay due to comprehension lag
 *
 * Governments can't respond effectively to AI threats they don't understand
 *
 * @param comprehensionProgress - Current comprehension (0-1)
 * @returns Response delay multiplier (1.0-5.0)
 */
export declare function calculateComprehensionDelayMultiplier(comprehensionProgress: number): number;