/**
 * Swarm Self-Model
 * ADR-031: Strange Loop Self-Awareness
 *
 * Maintains an internal model of the swarm state, tracks history,
 * and predicts future vulnerabilities based on trends.
 */
import type { SwarmHealthObservation, SwarmModelState, SwarmModelDelta, TrendAnalysis, TrendDirection, PredictedVulnerability, BottleneckAnalysis, AgentHealthMetrics, SerializedSwarmHealthObservation } from './types.js';
/**
 * Maintains an internal representation of the swarm state
 * and provides trend analysis and vulnerability prediction.
 */
export declare class SwarmSelfModel {
    private observationHistory;
    private currentState;
    private topologyAnalyzer;
    private maxHistorySize;
    constructor(maxHistorySize?: number);
    /**
     * Update the model with a new observation
     */
    updateModel(observation: SwarmHealthObservation): SwarmModelDelta;
    /**
     * Get the current model state
     */
    getCurrentState(): SwarmModelState | null;
    /**
     * Get the observation history
     */
    getHistory(): readonly SwarmHealthObservation[];
    /**
     * Find bottleneck agents using min-cut analysis
     */
    findBottlenecks(): BottleneckAnalysis;
    /**
     * Predict future vulnerabilities based on trends
     */
    predictVulnerabilities(): PredictedVulnerability[];
    /**
     * Analyze trend in a series of values
     */
    analyzeTrend(values: number[]): TrendAnalysis;
    /**
     * Estimate time until a threshold is reached
     */
    private estimateTimeToThreshold;
    /**
     * Get average time between observations
     */
    private getAverageObservationInterval;
    /**
     * Aggregate agent health across observations
     */
    aggregateAgentHealth(): Map<string, AgentHealthMetrics[]>;
    /**
     * Compute delta between previous state and new observation
     */
    private computeDelta;
    /**
     * Get health trend over recent observations
     */
    getHealthTrend(): TrendDirection;
    /**
     * Get current overall health
     */
    getCurrentHealth(): number;
    /**
     * Clear all history and state
     */
    clear(): void;
    /**
     * Export history for persistence
     */
    exportHistory(): SerializedSwarmHealthObservation[];
    /**
     * Import history from persistence
     */
    importHistory(history: SerializedSwarmHealthObservation[]): void;
}
/**
 * Create a new swarm self-model
 */
export declare function createSwarmSelfModel(maxHistorySize?: number): SwarmSelfModel;
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